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English Cff Forum => NT Teams => Topic started by: Aurora Australis on September 11, 2020, 10:28:21 AM

Title: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on September 11, 2020, 10:28:21 AM
We're coming up towards the end of an era, the winds of change are marching.  Why not make a change yourself, like Zatarra last season & TeaMetal this season, and join us Down Under.

(https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/cartas/35.jpg)

Our seasonal table of best Aussie cyclists plus up & coming cyclists will be posted shortly, but first, welcome TeaMetal & anybody else who joins us this season; I trust the motel quarantine has been up to standard, and we get to see you competing under the Southern Cross on Monday.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Vos on September 11, 2020, 10:45:17 AM
(https://i.imgur.com/BCrQr0A.jpeg)
"Hi, I am the special welcome to Australia gift to Horace_vr ( TeaMetal )"
"I will be your special gift too when you also use the change nations WC card" :-*
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Franky on September 11, 2020, 02:04:54 PM
Climbing TT!!!
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on September 12, 2020, 07:43:02 AM
AUSTRALIAN NT - Season 12

(https://indaily.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/Barossa-Cycling-Hub-1-850x455.jpg)
Tour De Wine : Clara Valley - Barossa Valley - McLaren Vale : South Australia

Welcome to season 12.  With Vos having secured himself at the top of CFF's elite NT managers, it's now my job to attempt to repeat his championship winning achievements.  We're aided in this by the first climbing-TT NT race (where we have two top tier cyclists), along with the flat-TT & flat-cobbles.
Three races with great prospects, but first several races where we seek to over-perform, decent points to two of these (most likely hills & sprint), would help put at least one hand on back to back NT titles.

Current Australian cyclist rankings below.
(https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/50332602106_77296ecf6d_h.jpg)
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on September 12, 2020, 08:03:28 AM
Just a quick look at how close the flat-TT statistics are (see attachment).  Note, the stats will be a bit different by NT race 4, Workman will leap to 10th on Monday, and then my team will be switching to TT training, where my cyclists have room to grow.

Btw: For my own team, I'm seeking 19 year old Aussie TTers.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Franky on September 12, 2020, 09:30:02 AM
Good to see Jasper and Steve Odom in the tops. I'm happy because of Steve is training very well, and he has "low" stamina, that is something that I'm going to start training soon, so he can improve a lot with that.

Steve Odom   Age : 24   Wage : 586
Stamina : 67   Sprint : 10   Climbing : 18
Flat : 97   Cobblestone : 43   Technique : 98
Downhill : 51   Hills : 9   Aggressiveness : 9
Time Trial : 100   Teamwork : 68   Experience : 44
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on September 12, 2020, 04:44:29 PM
Was looking at a comparison with my TTers at age 24, and Ben Mitchum at the same age was 93.69.  Of course Mitchum would have had around 96-97 TT at that point in time, and Steve Odom will statistically drop around 0.44av at 1am Monday (as will Iverson & Morrison), but it's a useful comparison.
Anyway.

Race 1  (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/viento2.jpg)
(https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/etapas/calta.jpg)

Quote
Selections :
Austin Burton   30   Facha_Bartolo (leader?)
Vinnie Coleman   29   galegospolabici (?)
Royce Henderson   30   Handest.
John Jones   30   CC_Porco_Jones. (free role?)
Stu Beal   30   $Tourmalet.
Tyler Walker   30   NervionBike
Steve Owens   30   FrançaiseDesJeux
Dudley Judd   24   Telleriarte
Gerard Shields   23   Quickstepbronx
Prospects: John Jones hasn't progressed in the five seasons since I've seen him, and has relatively declined around 2AV in comparison to other hillers, none of whom are near the top of hiller rankings (and some with woeful experience).  On the other hand, he did manage 6th in race 1 last season with Vos.  Of course we all know that Vos has golden hands as NT manager, so we'll see.  But we have faith.

Results:
27   John Jones      30   0: 29"
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: horace_vr on September 12, 2020, 08:10:03 PM
Thank you for the welcome wishes! Yes, the motel quarantine was fine (as long as there is Internet connection, I won't complain). Looking forward to receiving my welcome gift after the quarantine  8)

And the first blunder of the season: does not make any sense to promote a rider after the last race of the past season: you will lose the first promotion of the next season... Lesson learned

Let the Golden Future of Australian Cobble-Hillers (GFoACH) begin!
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Zatarra on September 16, 2020, 08:45:55 AM
(https://i.imgur.com/BCrQr0A.jpeg)
"Hi, I am the special welcome to Australia gift to Horace_vr ( TeaMetal )"
"I will be your special gift too when you also use the change nations WC card" :-*

Erm... maybe my memory is bad, but I can't remember receiving a gift like that last season?  :'(
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Vos on September 16, 2020, 11:25:12 AM
Yes, sorry, she wanted to play billiard with me first, and you were too drunk anyway on your Australian welcome barbeque to handle her.  :P
But of course, you too deserve a special welcome to Australia gift, in fact, she is a super special gift as you can see.
If you hear the doorbell in a few minutes, that is her. Enjoy !  :-*  :))

(https://i.imgur.com/kDwCgJu.jpg)
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Franky on September 16, 2020, 12:22:55 PM
Jasper is a silver flat sprinter since today...  8) 8)
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Vos on September 16, 2020, 07:36:56 PM
(https://64.media.tumblr.com/6ab52990bf249a6e6fcf3f3ace16c280/ca0d6e655031002c-c4/s640x960/0ec1b1755837afd993bedaa66df9a483ce602fff.gif)
Jasper is a silver flat sprinter since today...  8) 8)

Very nice Franky !  8)

And what a sacrifices I make for Australia, to make space in my team to have at least one free place to recruit/scout ;
I even fired my silver hill sprinter who had TC bonus for the upcoming MSR and with the right tactics could score a few points.
Almost a week ago I bought him for just 3k, together with TC costs and firing costs it is not financial disaster.
And I assume these missed points will not cause that my team relegates this season.
Difficult game with difficult choices sometimes, well, at least I have now 6 possibillities to score a good 19yo instead of zero possibillities.
Let's hope I'm a bit lucky, so this choice to fire my MSR sprinter will be a "responsible" choice, and good for the future of Australia.  :)
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Franky on September 17, 2020, 11:36:42 AM
hey, Aurora, are we going to have any UnderSomething ranks? ::)
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on September 17, 2020, 12:34:58 PM
hey, Aurora, are we going to have any UnderSomething ranks? ::)
Absolutely.  It'll be better to look at than the next race's prospects.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on September 17, 2020, 04:18:35 PM
AUSTRALIAN u24 - Cyclists to note
(https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/50352714122_3bf5a731ef_b.jpg)
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: horace_vr on September 17, 2020, 04:59:14 PM
@AA: there are separate rankings for Sprint-Cobblers, Hill-Cobblers, and also Cobblers...? What kind of races are "pure" Cobblestones ?

P.S.: When did you pull the 19yo data ? Are my 2 young Aussies that bad in Cobb-Hills that they are not even worth mentioning ? :D
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on September 17, 2020, 05:59:51 PM
@AA: there are separate rankings for Sprint-Cobblers, Hill-Cobblers, and also Cobblers...? What kind of races are "pure" Cobblestones ?
P.S.: When did you pull the 19yo data ? Are my 2 young Aussies that bad in Cobb-Hills that they are not even worth mentioning ? :D
It's the U24 listing, so u19s mightn't be in the listing depending on how many older decent talents there are.  And full cobblers are races with at least 3-4 cobble sections ending in cobbles (sprint-cobbles are 2 cobbles ending in sprint).

Btw:  COBBLERS            
#   Score   Name   Age   Team
1   63.61   Julian Power   20   LosTxinosKudeiros
4   55.38   Justin Jameson   19   Zatarra
10   50.81   Nate Filsbourne   19   Frenkie
12   49.45   Brad Lindsay   19   Artxube
13   48.10   Todd Teinert   19   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team
15   47.95   Marc Ashley   19   TeaMetal

HILL-COBBLERS:            
#   Score   Name   Age   Team
1   53.62   Herbie Ashley   20   Flyvende_hjul
8   49.65   Mark Whisman   19   NervionBike
9   49.59   Dave Springsteen   19   Frenkie
10   49.21   Tim Williams   19   SPORTLIFE
13   48.22   Nate Filsbourne   19   Frenkie
14   47.75   Bruce Iverson   19   Artxube
15   47.53   Billy Winger   19   TeaMetal

Full U21 listing will come in a few days.  Btw, I believe you can pull better 19 year old cobblers.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: horace_vr on September 17, 2020, 06:05:02 PM
@AA: there are separate rankings for Sprint-Cobblers, Hill-Cobblers, and also Cobblers...? What kind of races are "pure" Cobblestones ?
P.S.: When did you pull the 19yo data ? Are my 2 young Aussies that bad in Cobb-Hills that they are not even worth mentioning ? :D
It's the U24 listing, so u19s mightn't be in the listing depending on how many older decent talents there are.  And full cobblers are races with at least 3-4 cobble sections ending in cobbles (sprint-cobbles are 2 cobbles ending in sprint).
Full U21 listing will come in a few days.  Btw, I believe you can pull better 19 year old cobblers.

Thanks for the explanation; and yes, working on pulling better guys :D
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on September 19, 2020, 02:39:30 AM
Race 2
(https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/etapas/zinal.jpg)

Quote
Selections :
Anthony Garza   30   SaulSalinasTeam
Daniel Lucas   30   SAGASAI
Scott Springsteen   30   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team
Colin Mount   25   Sacido (leader)
Ryan Henderson   25   FrançaiseDesJeux
Jason Furey   23   PDM_cycling_team
Trevor Winger   29   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team
Keith Hunter   22   catapunchimpon
Danny Carpenter   21   los_leones_del_sur
   
I was going to select 22yo TTer Julian Frances, but zero experience meant no selection, and several others not being trained correctly.  So decided as my 9th selection to give Trevor Winger another chance to be a backup domestique.  Hunter & Carpenter were already selected for experience value.
Prospects: Tactics will be correct this race, so we have a chance to sneak into the points.

Results:
11th   Colin Mount      25   0: 38"   110      Sacido
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Vos on September 19, 2020, 10:31:59 AM
Daniel Lucas   30   SAGASAI (leader?)
Daniel Lucas should not be the leader, AA, he is just a silver 8 star pure climber and not good enough.
Maybe the just 126km of this NT race gives him a (in my opinion) misleading high GV.
It seems to me you have a few better options as teamcaptain in this race, although and of course, I cannot see the stats anymore.
So I could be wrong. And maybe my experiences in the past 2 seasons are misleading.
But maybe I could be right about estimating mountain races.
we have a chance to sneak into the points.
With a better teamcaptain for sure a chance to sneak into the points, but it can be difficult to achieve, there are many better foreign climbers.
The previews of the 2 pure mountain races in seasons 10 and 11 could be interesting :
( of course there are big differences, for example in s10 the race was twice as long ).

(https://i.imgur.com/bi7XdWp.jpg?1)  AUSTRALIA NT :  SEASON 10 PREVIEW

race 2 (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/francia.jpg)(https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/italia.jpg)  Sestriere ; mountains
Australia is not good in the mountains. For example two seasons ago a 16th place in a pure mountain race.
But back in season 6 there was a very surprising good 8th place in this exact same race.
However, this is a rare exception, and the only time in a mountain race that an Australian finished in the top10.
prediction = 80 points

RACE PREVIEW =
https://cyclingforfun.org/smf/index.php?topic=632.msg21562#msg21562

RACE AFTERVIEW =
https://cyclingforfun.org/smf/index.php?topic=632.msg21647#msg21647

(https://i.imgur.com/bi7XdWp.jpg?1)  AUSTRALIA NT :  SEASON 11 PREVIEW

race 2 (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/spain.jpg)  Bola del Mundo ; mountains
Normally no points because Australia does not even have a golden pure climber.
At the moment I wrote this, I must have overlooked the 2 climbers who just had their 24th birthday.
And I just looked at the golden climbers ranking, and a comment about this later in this post.
First it is interesting to see the race preview and race afterview of the pure climb NT race of season 11.

RACE PREVIEW =
https://cyclingforfun.org/smf/index.php?topic=656.msg22596#msg22596

RACE AFTERVIEWS =
https://cyclingforfun.org/smf/index.php?topic=656.msg22645#msg22645
https://cyclingforfun.org/smf/index.php?topic=656.msg22655#msg22655

Let's highlight a part of the second afterview, to compare it with the current situation :
But what is a better indication than this NT race, that is the golden ranking :
nr 184 = Mount, and nr 195 = R.Henderson.
To me that is too low, although we are Down Under of course happy that we have finally golden pure climbers after 10 seasons. :)
I suspect the 22yo Furey will be the Australian future teamcaptain in pure mountain races.
He is not in the u23 DT, no top climber also, but I estimate he will be gold in pure climb and ranked higher than Mount and R.Henderson.
Anyway, the future in pure mountain races looks brighter than the past with these 3 young golden pure climbers.
But still it is better for Australia if there is some flat and/or hills in a mountain NT race.

At the moment Australia has 3 pure climbers in the golden ranking :
( that they are lower ranked as previous season does not say anything, because the ranking also includes many hillsclimbers and many flatclimbers. )
nr 231 = R.Henderson
nr 264 = Mount
nr 328 = Furey ( 23yo ! )
About Furey, a week later (or so) than my quoted text, he came into the u23 DT. At the end of the season he moved up to the 5th place(or so).
Anyway, my prediction in the quoted text that he will be the future pure mountain teamcaptain seems to come true.

As you can see in my NT race season 11 preview ; I did not even select Daniel Lucas.
He was just the nr5 (or nr4) in my estimated GV percentages and I'm 99% sure his team was not active at that time.
Just the first few races of season 11 his team was active, and I saw that very late in that season that team became active again.
And that team is still active right now.
But at that time not active, and I rather select other cyclists than a low GV silver helper of an in-active team.
Besides this, the one who was just one GV place behind him, had 2 active weather icons.

But also as you can see in my NT race season 10 preview ; Daniel Lucas was 2nd in my estimated GV percentages.
According to me the pure climb situation changed a lot, and even looking at the past and this I mentioned also in the race preview ;
Segovia, Spain ( 68km northwest of Madrid ),
Finally, for the first time Australia has golden pure climbers. Both are 24yo and on a very low position in the golden climb ranking.
And they are just a tiny little bit better than Garza, who was the teamcaptain in the NT mountain races of all previous seasons.
So, Daniel Lucas was never the teamcaptain for Australia, but I guess almost all seasons the nr2 in pure climb and he was always silver.
Garza does have gold, but that golden icon is for flat climb, on pure climb Garza never had gold, in my opinion.
By the way, Daniel Lucas was in my team since CFF 3 started and I sold him 14 months ago.
He can be a good helper and it seems to me you have better options as teamcaptain in this pure climb race of 126 km.

Your NT selection is perfect with the so far 6 selected climbers.
Australia has just these 6 climbers who are "suited" / can try to help in a pure climb race, other Australians are not good enough.
Good luck !
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Vos on September 20, 2020, 01:33:56 AM
(https://i.imgur.com/xKOYmWL.jpg)
One of the Australian NT super-TT-team, the 29yo Neill Bell, transfered from Aurora_Australis to SPORTLIFE today.  8)

Aurora-Australis did great on the transfermarket with buying the 19yo Australian supertop-TT-talent Nobby Licuria. Well done, AA.
With just 1 place in my team, my bid on Licuria was even 1,- more than my bid on Bell, but you were smart to bid more.
I guess I'm sponsoring your new youth team with my purchase.  :)
But I'm happy with my new buy and to me a bargain, I did not expect to buy him for my bid. Maybe others overlooked he is 29yo, instead of 30yo.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on September 20, 2020, 01:58:25 AM
I'm surprised to hear that you bidded on Licuria.  He wouldn't be worth anything reselling, because I'm the only established team buying 19 year old TTers.  Btw: I only bid the amount I did because I want people to know that I'll pay a good price for top potentials so people will still promote Aussie TTers.

On Bell, his price probably suffered because of my other Aussie TTers.  Given the prices being paid for other 29-30ers, it's a slight bargain, but still not unreasonable.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on September 20, 2020, 06:24:58 AM
AUSTRALIAN u21 - Cyclists to note
click on paperclip (attachment) to view.  Btw there's 95 u21 cyclists at the moment.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Vos on September 20, 2020, 11:24:03 AM
It seems I made many impuls bids yesterday, not really thought-out and often I surprise myself too on the transfermarket. ;)
Luckily I could buy just one, because I had just 2 places and the scouted 19yo comes first.
Well, now I have one TT cyclist too many and both are just as good. Not really smart in this season with just a few TT stages.
But fun to have (maybe temporarily) a second Aussie in my team. :)

About my high bid on a very good 19yo toptalent, I do that more often and in all kinds of specialties.
Almost always not the highest bid, just bidding along and gamble I will be lucky.
And often not to resell, but as training project, although that will depend on the talent rating also.
Anyway, good he is in your team, because I still have my project of a 23yo climber this season (although he trains stamina right now).
I guess I was one season too soon to try to start another project / or what was also an option in this specific case ;
sell him to you with a netto profit of 1,4 million, because you proved to pay more for him than my bid was.

Thanks for the u21 lists !  8)
I see you pulled John Friess, who has the same high GV as your new buy Nobby Licuria.
Your TT youth team looks already very promising, what can be great for the future of Australia.  :)
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on September 20, 2020, 12:28:59 PM
Hopefully one of them will have good talent (it makes a difference).  Btw, if you had purchased him, I wouldn't have brought him on a resell, which would have meant a 6mill loss to you because nobody else is buying 19 year old TTers this season, and unless you're specialising in TT, he would have had zero value in a season's time (not that money means that much after 12 seasons).

On today's race, as always, I recheck & refine my selections after the 7am Sunday training session, and it's either Colin Mount or Anthony Garza who'll be leader (neither would be gold in pure climber either).  May have one more young climber (21 yo), or select young cyclists from other specialities.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Vos on September 20, 2020, 04:05:40 PM
If I buy him for 6M it is a loss of 6M ?  ??? ( and if you buy him for 8M it is a good buy ?  ??? ) Good joke.  :))
Sell him to me for 6M, I will prove you are wrong, I like him a lot.
My bid was a good financial investment and / or a good investment in future results.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on September 20, 2020, 04:38:09 PM
Depends on what you would have done with him Vos.  But anyway, I need to go to sleep.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Vos on September 21, 2020, 11:43:12 AM
11º  Colin Mount
Excellent result and most likely the 2nd best Australian result ever in a pure mountain race. Very well done, AA !  8)

Very nice that Australia can score a good amount of points with a climber, probably very needed points at the end of this season.
Next week another similar challenge for you as in the past 2 NT races,
because also in the upcoming sprint race it can be zero points or at best 11th or so when the tactics go very well compared to the rivals.
Good luck AA !

Fun to see that my Miorlin (ITA) finished on the podium. :)
Also an excellent job of the Italian NT manager, because 9 stars Miorlin (never had 10 stars) is the nr 264 in the golden climbers ranking.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on September 24, 2020, 11:58:47 AM
Well I wasn't repeating my mistake from the first race Vos.  Next week will again be heavy weather, however we can try for a surprise and send a few behind the times along the way.  But first:

AUSTRALIAN u20 - Cyclists to note
Fifty-six 19 year olds at time I collected the info.  Click on paperclip (attachment) to view.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on September 26, 2020, 03:57:15 PM
Race 3  (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/nieve.jpg)
(https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/etapas/montreux.jpg)

Quote
Selections :
David Dixon   30   LosTxinosKudeiros
Derek Nelson   30   Yvo_Meppelink_ProCycling (leader)
Tony Carter   30   HorsCategorieProTeam
Ryan Pierre   25   Shiro_Lions
Gerard Shields   23   Quickstepbronx
Jasper Blair   22   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team
Keith Hunter   22   catapunchimpon
Tim Malone   22   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team
Wilt Frances   22   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team
Prospects: Another race where our cyclists are several AV behind.  It just means that we have to make the race work for us.

Results:
8th   Derek Nelson      0: 00"   140 points
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Zatarra on September 27, 2020, 08:26:15 AM
It doesn't happen to me very often, but I think I've hit the motherload:


Marc Huling   Age : 19   Wage : 855
Stamina : 69   Sprint : 27   Climbing : 0
Flat : 58   Cobblestone : 56   Technique : 72
Downhill : 33   
Hills : 64   Aggressiveness : 56
Time Trial : 6   Teamwork : 8   Experience : 0

The only problem is that he doesn't really fit my schedule (flat - technique - stamina) and only benefits from the flat training at first. It will give me the opportunity to figure out his talent rating, but I'm really struggling now with what to do with him. He's such a diamond.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Vos on September 27, 2020, 03:13:44 PM
Very nice one, Zatarra.  :)
I'm sure the Australian TeaMetal of Horace will be very interested, he tries to start up a 19yo ( Australian ) cobblehills team.
And I estimate Huling is (much) better than his best 19yo.
Of course, this is just a remark, understandable if you keep and train Huling yourself.

Thanks for the 19yo's lists, Aurora Australis !  8)

Unfortunately, I had to fire the best hillsclimber of that list.
In my opinion he was good, but not very good and missing out potential, and my team was full what was the main reason to fire him.
So I could recruit another 19yo hillsclimber with a higher GV and also much more potential ( good flat as extra, + some TT as extra ).
Gilbert Fagan is for sale for just 1,- and he has some bids :
https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/vision.php?ciclistaid=104479
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Vos on September 27, 2020, 03:26:20 PM
Race 3  (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/nieve.jpg)
(https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/etapas/montreux.jpg)

Quote
Selections :
Derek Nelson   30   Yvo_Meppelink_ProCycling (leader?)
Tony Carter   30   HorsCategorieProTeam
Ryan Pierre   25   Shiro_Lions
Jasper Blair   22   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team

Five more to be selected, possible for experience.
Prospects: Another race where our cyclists are several AV behind.  It just means that we have to make the race work for us.

Results:

About your questionmark ;
I know that 2 seasons ago Derek Nelson was the best flat sprinter of Australia, in previous season 11 there was no NT flat sprint race.
In the current CFF ranking of golden sprinters ; nr 107 Derek Nelson and nr 169 Tony Carter.

I see you have completed your NT selection. Good luck this evening, AA !
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Vos on September 27, 2020, 09:37:45 PM
8º  Derek Nelson
Excellent sprint result, AA, well done !

Next week the time trial, and just one weather icon is active ; sun.
I guess that is good for Australia, but you as super TT expert can estimate this better, AA. Already good luck with your amazing TT specialists.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Spammie on September 28, 2020, 12:15:03 PM
About your questionmark ;
I know that 2 seasons ago Derek Nelson was the best flat sprinter of Australia, in previous season 11 there was no NT flat sprint race.
In the current CFF ranking of golden sprinters ; nr 107 Derek Nelson and nr 169 Tony Carter.

I see you have completed your NT selection. Good luck this evening, AA !
Nelson did a wonderful job - again. I can remember that any of previous NT coaches of Australia, commented on his lack of stamina. His trainings in this field have resulted in significant improvement of his capabilities.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: FIO on September 30, 2020, 10:43:50 AM
Well, hello Markus! Nice to see you  8)

Markus Benett   Age : 19   Wage : 823
Stamina : 65   Sprint : 61   Climbing : 1
Flat : 65   Cobblestone : 8   Technique : 53
Downhill : 4   Hills : 27   Aggressiveness : 50
Time Trial : 67   Teamwork : 16   Experience : 0
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on September 30, 2020, 12:44:59 PM
Nelson did a wonderful job - again. I can remember that any of previous NT coaches of Australia, commented on his lack of stamina. His trainings in this field have resulted in significant improvement of his capabilities.
Better than expected, getting into any points was my goal.  My own Aksel Myklebust was only one spot above, and he's around 2av better according to my calculations.

FIO, you guys are making my coin purse very light :)
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on September 30, 2020, 12:48:44 PM
Race 4  (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/sol.jpg)
(https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/etapas/tarragonatt.jpg)

Quote
Selections :
Ben Mitchum   30   Aurora_Australis
Isaac Trump   30   Aurora_Australis
Owen Acree   30   Aurora_Australis
Richard Levin   30   Aurora_Australis
Christian Pinkney   29   Aurora_Australis
Neil Bell   29   SPORTLIFE
Paul Clickett   29   Aurora_Australis
Prospects: It's a TT race, we're Australian, enough said.

Results:
Position   Name   Country   Age   Time behind   Points
1st   Isaac Trump      30   0: 00"   300
3rd   Richard Levin      30   0: 03"   225
8th   Paul Clickett      29   0: 11"   140
12th   Ben Mitchum      30   0: 12"   100
21st   Christian Pinkney      29   0: 17"   0
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on September 30, 2020, 12:59:11 PM
Final choices, the hot weather makes it even harder.  Here's the basic TT stats of the yet to be selected as of 1am game time, not taking into account length of race or weather.

Quote
#   Score   Name   Age   Team
1   95.16   David Wilson   28   Facha_Bartolo
2   94.49   Kirk Workman   24   Aurora_Australis (has everything but hot weather)
3   94.22   Jim Slipper   30   Blanes
4   94.16   George Bookout   30   Liberty_Sansaloni
5   93.98*   Charles Iverson   24   Spitz
6   93.94   Angel Morrison   25   Frenkie
7   93.90*   Cameron Carter   28   Antequera
8   93.79   Chris Montgomery   28   Frenkie
9   93.78*   Dean Shields   25   Aurora_Australis
10   93.76   Peter Coleman   25   Frenkie
11   93.74   Gilbert Byers   26   TeamSalpeter
12   93.65   Steve Odom   24   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team
13   93.60   Arthur Marbley   28   Lemosteam
14   93.58   Dan Malone   29   KASTORAMA
15   93.34   Mark Friend   25   Aurora_Australis
16   93.32   Fergus Mayne   25   Kalarratas
* hot weather bonus

Nothing to be decided until Sunday, and exact calculations to be made.  At least five cyclists can argue that they're the rightful pick for the race (I'm thinking Workman misses out - but wait until Sunday).
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Franky on September 30, 2020, 01:16:37 PM
I would choose guys who need exp, as probably those ones are not going to get points...look to the future.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Vos on September 30, 2020, 01:59:41 PM
It is a different situation, Franky, on a lucky day some (or even many) not yet selected TT-specialists can score points too.
I had the same situation as AA the past 2 seasons ; easy to make the main TT selection, but difficult to select the last few.
I gave xp to promising u24 TT specialists in other NT races,
because there was no space in the time trial. But enough space for them in for example a cobblehills NT race.
I suspect AA looks at the estimated GV (including now just 25km), active weather icon and experience more than promising for the future.

For example my TT selections of the past 2 seasons, and as last few selected I had some options and I had to make choices.
I wrote the results of the few last selected in the afterview, and on a lucky day they (and some not even selected) could score points ;

season 11 ( 38km ) preview = https://cyclingforfun.org/smf/index.php?topic=656.msg22949#msg22949
season 11 afterview = https://cyclingforfun.org/smf/index.php?topic=656.msg23019#msg23019
season 10 ( 31km ) preview = https://cyclingforfun.org/smf/index.php?topic=632.msg21905#msg21905
season 10 afterview = https://cyclingforfun.org/smf/index.php?topic=632.msg21948#msg21948

Most likely the TT situation changed compared to the previous 2 seasons, but I assume AA tries to score as much points as possible instead of giving xp to one of the many promising Australian TT specialists.
I selected them as xp cyclists in other NT races, Australia is simply to good in the flat time trial to give cyclists an xp place.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on October 04, 2020, 04:25:17 PM
Last two selections are two guys with the hot weather bonus
Charles Iverson   24   Spitz
Cameron Carter   28   Antequera
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Franky on October 07, 2020, 01:12:55 PM
8* Jasper Blair, 22yo  :) :)
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Vos on October 07, 2020, 02:25:18 PM
(https://i.imgur.com/2KJp4DT.jpeg)
8* Jasper Blair, 22yo  :) :)
8)

Something else ;
About NT race 4, the time trial of just 25km ; no reaction, Aurora Australis ?
Not many points, just 25 points more than the very unfortunate (4x mechanical breakdowns) time trial of previous season.
But again a NT victory of Isaac Trump. 8)
That is for sure worth mentioning. And also that Australia is 1st in the season ranking now. :)

This was the 10th NT race victory ever, and Australia moved up to 2nd place in the medal table of NT race victories :
1. the Netherlands (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/gold.jpg)= 10, (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/silver.jpg)= 7
2. Australia (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/gold.jpg)= 10, (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/silver.jpg)= 5
3. Spain (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/gold.jpg)= 10, (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/silver.jpg)= 3

In the TOP MANAGERS II ranking Aurora Australis moved up to the 2nd place with this NT race victory.
TeamEuroscalt ( Norway ) and Denver ( Belgium ) have also 4 NT race victories, but TeamEuroscalt has 4x silver and Aurora Australis 2x silver.
Both are NT managers this season (only Denver is not), so maybe a fun battle who is the nr 1 at the end of this season.
AA has a chance with Angus Friend in NT race 7, although his best result was 3rd in the only pure NT cobble race ever (s11).
And maybe also a chance in NT race 6 with Oscar Smith ( SPORTLIFE  :) ) if his very low xp does not affect the result too much.

Of course also good to mention  ; since previous season, Australia is 1st in the more important medal table of NT season results :
1. Australia (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/gold.jpg)= 3, (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/silver.jpg)= 2, (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/bronce.jpg)= 3
2. Spain (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/gold.jpg)= 3, and no silver and no bronze
3. Belgium (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/gold.jpg)= 2, and no silver and no bronze
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on October 08, 2020, 03:43:24 PM
Isaac Trump is again on hand to deny the win to any other nation in the TT NT race.  Between Trump (3) & Levin (4), it should make seven straight TT NT wins for Australia.

Results:
Position   Name   Country   Age   Time behind   Points
1st   Isaac Trump      30   0: 00"   300
3rd   Richard Levin      30   0: 03"   225
8th   Paul Clickett      29   0: 11"   140
12th   Ben Mitchum      30   0: 12"   100
21st   Christian Pinkney      29   0: 17"   0

What it takes to be Australia's & CFFs best TTers
(https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/50437847333_05c713990b_c.jpg)


AUSTRALIAN u21 - Cyclists to note
Anyway, as nobody in Australia will be looking forward to this Sunday's NT race, let's see who is the best of the 110 Aussie u21 cyclists currently (see attachment).
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Franky on October 09, 2020, 12:31:20 PM

What it takes to be Australia's & CFFs best TTers
(https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/50437847333_05c713990b_c.jpg)


OMFG  :o
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on October 11, 2020, 10:15:55 AM
Race 5  (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/sol.jpg)
(https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/etapas/zalla.jpg)

Quote
Selections :
Grant Curry   30   BLOEMENAANDEMITTE
Kirk Trump   30   $Tourmalet (leader)
Alex Byers   29   Fountain
Keith Sheehan   29   Sabmazz
Gerard Shields   23   Quickstepbronx
Keith Hunter   22   catapunchimpon

Final three to be good young prospects who haven't had many NT races yet.
Prospects: Sliver cobble with bronze hills, vs gold & gold cobbles/hills?  Not going to happen.

Results:
Position   Name   Country   Age   Time behind   Points
37th   Keith Sheehan      29   0: 46"
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on October 15, 2020, 12:57:49 PM
Race 6  (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/viento1.jpg) (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/nieve.jpg)
(https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/etapas/termitt.jpg)

Quote
Selections :
Leroy Benett   30   Pitisitos
Oscar Smith   25   SPORTLIFE

Not much hope for any other points scorers, so loads of experience up for grabs, particularly for those with few NT races but trained/raced well by managers.
Prospects: We will gain good points, however it's likely at least one of Ukraine, Netherlands, Spain will also score thus ending the title chase for us this weekend.

Results:
Position   Name   Country   Age   Time behind   Points
2nd   Oscar Smith      25   0: 01"   250      SPORTLIFE
10th   Leroy Benett      30   0: 12"   120      Pitisitos
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on October 16, 2020, 07:59:06 AM
While we're here, here's some considerations for the remaining 7 spots

CLIMB-TTers            
#   Score   Name   Age   Team
1   94.59   Oscar Smith   25   SPORTLIFE (picked)
2   93.61   Leroy Benett   30   Pitisitos (picked)
3   88.25   Walt Logsdon   28   RajenKujen (looks too low to have any chance at points)
4   88.04   Keith Hamsten   25   Matterhorn
5   86.13   Gordon Seaman   23   catapunchimpon
8   81.62   Isaac Olssen   22   GOAT (maxed stat, like really, use the u24 bonus to your advantage - plus just 2 exp)
16   76.56   Dave Gilbee   21   TipiCyclingTeam
20   74.22   Lenny Owen   20   La_Vie_Claire
23   73.05   Ben Clapton   20   Oska
25   70.67   Fenton Teinert   20   Team_Elrosportu
35   64.53   Christian Pocock   19   Aurora_Australis
36   64.03   Dominic Chapman   19   Aurora_Australis


FLAT-TTers            
#   Score   Name   Age   Team
1   98.64   Richard Levin   30   Aurora_Australis (for comparison)
2   98.44   Isaac Trump   30   Aurora_Australis
3   97.76   Paul Clickett   29   Aurora_Australis
4   97.44   Christian Pinkney   29   Aurora_Australis
9   94.42   Kirk Workman   24   Aurora_Australis
11   94.21   Dean Shields   25   Aurora_Australis
13   94.01   Charles Iverson   24   BlackHole
21   90.81   Marcus McClure   23   Ciclokillers
22   89.04   Julian Frances   22   Nibbixwoud (no - at zero experience - why don't managers race them??)
28   78.18   Jason Duffy   20   Frenkie
29   77.53   Bud Mount   20   ChronoTony
30   75.85   Walt Judd   20   Frenkie
32   75.23   Larry Vaughn   20   Frenkie
33   74.68   Sam Hunter   20   Frenkie
39   72.16   Nobby Licuria   19   Aurora_Australis (around 40 odd days ahead of Duffy & Mount at same level - but was raced last week so unlikely)
41   71.40   John Friess   19   Aurora_Australis
44   68.05   Tod Henderson   19   Aurora_Australis
45   67.59   Kirk Clinton   19   Aurora_Australis
46   67.05   Markus Benett   19   Aurora_Australis
48   66.23   Christian Pocock   19   Aurora_Australis

Of course there might be one or two outside of TT completely.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Franky on October 16, 2020, 08:23:51 AM
No Steve Odom or Kevin Duncan as options??  :-\

P.S: Well, Odom has plenty of exp, but not Kevin...and has 9* since today, with 23yo
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on October 16, 2020, 09:04:46 AM
No Steve Odom or Kevin Duncan as options??  :-\
P.S: Well, Odom has plenty of exp, but not Kevin...and has 9* since today, with 23yo
Odom is slightly behind the others at a similar age (& no weather bonus to compensate - mind you it's all very close), and the generation behind is strong (TTers have been trained better than any other cyclist type); Kevin well I hadn't looked at the TT-Hillers yet, so it's unknown, but looking at the start of season stats 25yo Angel Morrison would be an added possibility.  Jasper would be an option if I went outside of TT, but he's already got 8 NT races at such a young age.

HILL-TTers            
#   Score   Name   Age   Team
1   88.89   Angel Morrison   25   Frenkie
2   87.48   Ben Mitchum   30   Aurora_Australis
3   87.25   Peter Coleman   25   Frenkie
9   84.67   Kevin Duncan   23   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team
22   71.84   Walt Judd   20   Frenkie
23   70.51   Sam Hunter   20   Frenkie
24   68.09   Keith Brubaker   20   Frenkie

FLAT-TTers            
85.76   Kevin Duncan   23   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team

Btw: At the moment, Jason Duffy would be almost certain, maybe Lenny Owen &/or Ben Clapton (would look at actual stats), then choices are harder.  I seriously can't see Walt Logsdon or Keith Hamsten having any chance at points, that would be the only reason to select them, and that would decide how many is left to select.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Franky on October 16, 2020, 09:33:34 AM
No Steve Odom or Kevin Duncan as options??  :-\
P.S: Well, Odom has plenty of exp, but not Kevin...and has 9* since today, with 23yo
Odom is slightly behind the others at a similar age (& no weather bonus to compensate - mind you it's all very close), and the generation behind is strong (TTers have been trained better than any other cyclist type); Kevin well I hadn't looked at the TT-Hillers yet, so it's unknown, but looking at the start of season stats 25yo Angel Morrison would be an added possibility.  Jasper would be an option if I went outside of TT, but he's already got 8 NT races at such a young age.

HILL-TTers            
#   Score   Name   Age   Team
1   88.89   Angel Morrison   25   Frenkie
2   87.48   Ben Mitchum   30   Aurora_Australis
3   87.25   Peter Coleman   25   Frenkie
9   84.67   Kevin Duncan   23   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team
22   71.84   Walt Judd   20   Frenkie
23   70.51   Sam Hunter   20   Frenkie
24   68.09   Keith Brubaker   20   Frenkie

FLAT-TTers            
85.76   Kevin Duncan   23   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team

Btw: At the moment, Jason Duffy would be almost certain, maybe Lenny Owen &/or Ben Clapton (would look at actual stats), then choices are harder.  I seriously can't see Walt Logsdon or Keith Hamsten having any chance at points, that would be the only reason to select them, and that would decide how many is left to select.

Not bad Kevin, having 23, is the 9th in HILL-TTers, and is going to start training hills soon  :D
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on October 18, 2020, 06:44:43 PM
The final 7 selections are as follows.

Walt Logsdon   28   RajenKujen (Couldn't leave a 1% change of a miracle - likely wasted selection)
Kirk Workman   24   Aurora_Australis (The heir apparent to Australia's TT hopes until the 19-20 year olds mature)
Jason Duffy   20   Frenkie (top 20yo flat TTer)
Walt Judd   20   Frenkie (top 20yo hill TTer 3rd flat)
Christian Pocock   19   Aurora_Australis (top 10yo climb TTer)
Leroy Ablett   19   lasposturas (top u21 sprinter)
Tod Henderson   19   Aurora_Australis (with Licuria having raced, is next top flat-TTer)

-----

<23yo previously selected this season

x2 Keith Hunter      22   catapunchimpon
Wilt Frances      22   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team
Tim Malone      22   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team
Keith Hunter      22   catapunchimpon
Jasper Blair      22   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team
Danny Carpenter      21   los_leones_del_sur
Norm Bush      20   Orange
Nobby Licuria      19   Aurora_Australis

-----

Not selected
74.38   Lenny Owen   20   La_Vie_Claire (Climb-TTer training issues)
73.61   Ben Clapton   20   Oska (other Climbers in team aren't TT, so Oska won't train TT next, meaning he will slip)
84.82(hill)   Kevin Duncan   23   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team (still silver Hill-TTer - over 4AV below Morrison)
85.89(flat)   Kevin Duncan   23   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team (long way behind)
88.89(hill)   Angel Morrison   25   Frenkie (hill & flat TT - slightly unlucky not to get final spot, note 94.11flat)
87.42   Peter Coleman   25   Frenkie (hill TT)
89.14   Julian Frances   22   Nibbixwoud (flat TT - never been raced, no point giving exp in this situation - would have been selected otherwise)
77.74   Bud Mount   20   ChronoTony (flat TT, almost selected, maybe unlucky, just not quite our best)
68.50   Kirk Clinton   19   Aurora_Australis (two weather bonuses, maybe on edge of selection if not in my team - or maybe just off)

I believe that's all the possibilities mentioned.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: B.E-L on October 18, 2020, 08:45:08 PM
Is Denis Moore somewhere on your list or is his TT to low?
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on October 19, 2020, 10:59:30 AM
Well it seems that we were never in the running for the championship.  Results to be posted further up.  Now to go for a hoped stage 7 win.

Is Denis Moore somewhere on your list or is his TT to low?
If you look on page one, he'll appear on one of these lists.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Vos on October 19, 2020, 11:47:19 AM
2º  Oscar Smith   0:01" :'(
Well, the victor (nr1 CFF ranking since today) had an active weather icon and he is most likely more experienced.
Hopefully next season another mountain TT as NT race, so I have a chance to win a NT race with one of my cyclists for the first time ever.
Although, for the world championship chances of Australia it is maybe not good there will be a mountain TT again, because Spain scored 640 points.

No candidates yet for next season. Who wants do this honorable and fun job ?
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: B.E-L on October 19, 2020, 02:42:47 PM

If you look on page one, he'll appear on one of these lists.


Thnx! I was hoping he would be selected for the NT race last Sunday, but he's not nearly good enough.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Franky on October 21, 2020, 10:19:05 AM
Another young aussie is joining Manicomicos

Jason Owens   Age : 23   Wage : 815
Stamina : 83   Sprint : 16   Climbing : 100
Flat : 46   Cobblestone : 30   Technique : 86
Downhill : 88
   Hills : 38   Aggressiveness : 51
Time Trial : 40   Teamwork : 46   Experience : 24

It was cheap, and most of my training can be good for him, now Stamina, then hills, a bit of flat, a bit of TW, a bit of Tech...maybe TT...
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: B.E-L on October 21, 2020, 07:24:59 PM
That's an whole lot of training in just a few weeks. You know training ends with 24 😉 Good luck with Jason! I had to make room for a new generation, so i had to let him go
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Franky on October 22, 2020, 09:22:19 AM
That's an whole lot of training in just a few weeks. You know training ends with 24 😉 Good luck with Jason! I had to make room for a new generation, so i had to let him go

Well, I didnt say that I want train him those things in this season...thats my plan for coming seasons...Train doesnt ends at 24 btw, it is reduced a lot yes, but you can still improve your guys a bit.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on October 22, 2020, 10:56:08 AM
Race 7  (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/viento1.jpg) (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/sol.jpg)
(https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/etapas/fri.jpg)

Quote
Selections :
Dylan Gilliam   30   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team
Eric Kelly   30   Antequera
Gary Dowden   30   Bikeos
Kent McClure   30   Yvo_Meppelink_ProCycling
Angus Friend   29   El_Viejo_Acordeón (leader)
Keith Hunter   22   catapunchimpon

Three more old guys to be selected
Prospects: We're here to win, even if Friend isn't quite favourite.

Results:
Position   Name   Country   Age   Time behind   Points
1st   Angus Friend      29   0: 00"   300      El_Viejo_Acordeón
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Franky on October 25, 2020, 09:11:10 PM
Oh my Friend!  ;D
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Vos on October 25, 2020, 09:47:57 PM
Great victory with Friend ! Very well done, AA !  8)

There are 7 cyclists the numbers 1 in the individual ranking, and it is uncertain who will get the world champion jersey of CFF.
2 Australian contenders among those 7 ; Trump and Friend. Let's hope there will be an Australian individual world champion.
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on October 28, 2020, 10:18:10 AM
It'll go to whoever has had the most NT races, so it won't go to either Aussie.

Race 7  (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/viento1.jpg) (https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/imagenes/sol.jpg)
(https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/etapas/fri.jpg)
1st   Angus Friend      29   0: 00"   300      El_Viejo_Acordeón
Title: Re: Australia NT Season 12
Post by: Aurora Australis on October 29, 2020, 08:18:02 PM
Season 12 Results
Australia - 1685 Points
Position 3rd

TT 765 points : Climbs/TT 370 points : Paves 300 points : Sprint 140 points : Climb 110 points
Most Points : Race 4 TT - 765 points

Cyclists
300   Isaac Trump      30   Aurora_Australis   1*1st
300   Angus Friend      29   El_Viejo_Acordeón   1*1st
250   Oscar Smith      25   SPORTLIFE   1*2nd
225   Richard Levin      30   Aurora_Australis   1*3rd
140   Paul Clickett      29   Aurora_Australis   
140   Derek Nelson   30   Yvo_Meppelink_ProCycling   
120   Leroy Benett      30   Pitisitos   
110   Colin Mount      25   Sacido   
100   Ben Mitchum      30   Aurora_Australis