Guess who will win season 15

[Vos]

You could always ask for predictions to be sent to somebody who isn't competing.

Há, sometimes the most simple idea is the most brilliant idea. Well thought of, genius AA, thanks for your input.
So, Ophiuko, if you know someone trustworthy who is not competing,
and just wants to receive the predictions and send them all to you after the deadline, it is thé solution.
( despite this brilliant idea of AA, to me a solution is not even necessary, but that is just my opinion, I can imagine you want to solve it )

[ophiuko]

You could always ask for predictions to be sent to somebody who isn't competing.

Great idea. Didn't think of this before. If anyone who is not participating wouldn't mind to receive all the predictions (including mine) and send them to me after the deadline, please contact me.

No correct predictions for Dauphine. The +2 wind of the stage 5, combined with the calm stages 2, 3 & 4, and +1 wind on stage 1, made this tour favorable for climbers. The first non-climber was 5º Abilio Andujar on 1:13.

Next prediction race will be the 6th stage of National Teams, first time of a NT race on this game. Favourites:
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Aksel Myklebust
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Efrain Segura
⭐⭐⭐ Bud Power
⭐ Jasper Blair

[ophiuko]

Lazare Pires ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐2º
Rene Vrijmoed ⭐⭐⭐2º 2º 2º 3º 3º
Aksel Blix ⭐⭐2º
Alexey Ryazanov ⭐3º
Klaus Amundsen ⭐
Maurizio Lorenzetto ⭐
Yvo VanStraalen 2º 2º 2º
David Manuel Piñeiro 2º 2º
Aleksandr Menke 2º 3º 3º
Oscar Marcos 2º 3º
August Thoelen 2º 3º
Jorund Nordnes 2º
Espen Valgren 3º 3º
Allan Palmer 3º 3º
Sergey Rodionov 3º
Rafael Carlos Loinaz 3º
Daniel Mulikov 3º

[ophiuko]

After NT race (no guessers) and Tour de France:

1.  Ophiuko CT 10.5
2.  ZG 9
3.  Bikeos 7
4.  Sportlife 5.5
5.  Mlb 5
     Team Euroscalt 5
7.  Cabrasverdes 3.5
8.  Villavante 3
9.  MarquinaTeam 2.5
10. LottoStelvio 2
      °Peachy°Melocotons 2
12. RealMurciaCycling 1.5
      Azerite 1.5
13. JGMTeam 1

[ophiuko]

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Sammy Caan
⭐ Martin Hunter
⭐ Robert Lauk


Lazare Pires ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 2º 2º 3º 3º 3º
Aksel Blix ⭐⭐ 2º 2º 3º
Rene Vrijmoed ⭐⭐ 2º 2º
Nathan Lust ⭐⭐
August Thoelen ⭐ 2º 2º
Callum Dardar ⭐ 2º
David Manuel Piñeiro ⭐ 3º
Adam Zipp ⭐
Espen Valgren 2º 3º
Sergey Rodionov 2º 3º
Yvo VanStraalen 2º 3º
Allan Palmer 2º
Aleksandr Menke 2º
Oscar Marcos 3º 3º
Gedeon Chassier 3º
Maurizio Lorenzetto 3º
Alexey Ryazanov 3º
Tjerk Tusveld 3º

[Vos]

Analysis Sportlife chance to win the Prediction Race this season 15 :

Nobody predicted the right winner in SanSebastian.
So the ranking is still the same ; 4º Sportlife  5,5  --> = 5 points behind leader 1º OphiukoCT  10,5

My predicted nr 2 Vuelta is not selected, so I can get a max. score of 4 Vuelta points. But if I do, Ophiuko gets ½+½= 1 Vuelta point too.
So, theorethically it is possible to get 3 points closer to the leader.

Still 2 more points to go, to get even.
Luckily Ophiuko has 5 different predictions for the final 5 races/questions.
However, it seems already sure we both will have the predicted golden bike and predicted 1A champion wrong.

So, if the Vuelta goes perfect for me, and I predicted the right nrs 1 and 3, it can come down to Lombardia and both WC races.
There I have to score 2 more points then Ophiuko to get even, and get all 3 right to overtake the current leader.
Even by beating Ophiuko, victory is still not sure, others can score more points, for example nr 2º ZG who is already 3½ points ahead now.

Conclusion for now ; if Lazare Pires does not win the Vuelta, it is already certain that Sportlife will not win it.

[ophiuko]

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Robert Lauk
⭐⭐⭐ Sammy Caan
⭐⭐ Filipe Graca
⭐ Martin Hunter
⭐ Diogo Fraga


TT:
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ David McDermot
⭐⭐⭐ Zehar Bottani
⭐ Seppo Merisalu
⭐ Leons Salna

Road:
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Denis Preisig
⭐⭐⭐ Mikhail Pinin
⭐⭐ Bob Kluivert
⭐⭐ Andras Valter
⭐ Arno Verbeek
⭐ Andrea Marino



⭐⭐⭐⭐ Lazare Pires
⭐⭐⭐ Rene Vrijmoed
⭐⭐ Arno Verbeek
⭐⭐ Aksel Blix
⭐ Andras Valter
⭐ Leonid Leonov
⭐ Yvo VanStraalen



⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Rekutxuteam
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Inglorious_Bastards
⭐⭐ Ikibasque
⭐ Sportlife
⭐ Valderend

[ophiuko]

La Vuelta:

1.  Ophiuko CT 11
2.  ZG 9.5
3.  Sportlife 8.5
4.  Mlb 7
     Bikeos 7
6.  Team Euroscalt 6
7.  Cabrasverdes 5.5
     MarquinaTeam 5.5
9.  °Peachy°Melocotons 5
10. RealMurciaCycling 4.5
11. Villavante 3.5
12. Azerite 2.5
13. LottoStelvio 2
14. JGMTeam 1.5

[Vos]

⭐ Diogo Fraga

Vai ! Vai ! Vai ! Venga ! Venga ! Venga ! Go ! Go ! Go !
I need this Lombardia point to still have a chance to win the Prediction Race.

[ophiuko]

Final classification:

1.  Ophiuko CT 12
2.  ZG 9.5
3.  Sportlife 8.5
4.  Team Euroscalt 8
5.  Mlb 7
     Bikeos 7
     °Peachy°Melocotons 5
8.  Cabrasverdes 6.5
     MarquinaTeam 6.5
10. RealMurciaCycling 4.5
11. Villavante 3.5
      Azerite 3.5
13. LottoStelvio 3
14. JGMTeam 2.5

[ophiuko]

Hall of fame:

Season 7: Marcatone_Due/Flandria (15 p)
Season 8: Aurora_Australis (17 p)
Season 9: Cabrasverdes (13 p)
Season 10: Quickstepbronx (10 p)
Season 11: OphiukoCT (18 p)
Season 12: Mlb (16 p)
Season 13: TeamRHB (17.5 p)
Season 14: OphiukoCT (12.5 p)
Season 15: OphiukoCT (12 p)

[ophiuko]

[Vos]

Congrats with the very well deserved victory, Ophiuko ! 
The perfect score in the Giro was the key to success, for example if you had no predictions in the Giro, you would have finished 10th.
Many thanks for, ánd many appreciation for the effort you have put into this prediction game by organising it. Great overviews ! 

[EpoGlucK]

Te vas en lo más alto ^^.

Nice work as always Ophiuko!!

[ophiuko]

Thanks Vos and Peachey.

After seeing the results of the poll, there are 7 votes for "maximum 50 points" and 8 votes for "keep at 40 points" (and 3 for "as many as possible"). Therefore I've decided that I'm going to increase just a bit the points by adding all the classics during the season, not rotating them. The small tours will go in 4 pairs rotation (Paris Nice - Tirreno Adriatico; Volta - Itzulia; Romandie - Dauphine; Suisse - BBT) and one season there will be 4 of them, and the following season the other 4. TDU will never appear because it's too soon and people doesn't have time.

Following the suggestion of AA, someone will take care of collecting all the predictions for the new season, after the deadline, he will send them to me. That way I'll participate, giving Vos another chance to beat me 

I'll announce all the news soon, on the new post for season 16. Thanks everyone for participating.