For the first time, I had a look at the previous results (I wanted to see if my TTer was likely to hold the 1st position - looks promising, none of the 7 cobblers who can beat him finished top 20 in flat cobblers last season - although the Spaniard will be a concern), and I'd expect Britain is likely to keep 3rd, the Dutch is the only threat & they failed to score last season (50 points season 2). A strong Spain should soak up many points, with big flat-cobbler nations Denmark & Russia too far behind to trouble.