Author Topic: Australia NT Season 5  (Read 10999 times)

Aurora Australis

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Australia NT Season 5
« on: October 05, 2019, 08:48:31 AM »
AUSTRALIAN NT - Season 5

Ben Lomond (Jacob's Ladder) : Tasmania - near Launceston

Welcome to season 5.  This year's NT championship features a fairly standardised race set, featuring standard races for each major race type.  Of course this season isn't as kind to our cyclists as last season, with one less TT, and the flat-TT being at a shorter length, however a plain flat cobbles race should hopefully claw back a percentage of the expected points lost, and we'll still achieve a top ten points position by the end of the season.
I always say that we have one goal, and that's to beat the British, which we've managed to do for three seasons, not sure we can do it this time.  Predicted finish for season, 7th.

Btw: Current cyclist ratings by my calculations (click attachment below).  Several calculations do need refinement (hilly-TT & flat-cobbles for example), but is a guide.  And the Grand Tour ratings was put in to fill the spot, it shouldn't be taken as accurate.  Ratings for 19-21 year olds to come.
« Last Edit: October 05, 2019, 09:06:41 AM by Aurora Australis »

Vos

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Re: Australia NT Season 5
« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2019, 10:41:35 AM »
Great job, AA !  8)  And good luck this season.

Aurora Australis

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Re: Australia NT Season 5
« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2019, 02:50:51 PM »
Race 1 

Quote
Selections :
Austin Burton   TeamRHB   23
Isaac Montgomery   vercors   23
John Jones   Oska   23 (leader)
Norman Licuria   Flyvende_hjul   23
Royce Henderson   Albero   23
Steve Owens   Oska   23
Stu Beal   $Tourmalet   23
Tyler Walker   NervionBike   23
One more to be selected, possibly Allan Winger - Sacido - 21

First straight hills race since race 1 season 3.  Training doesn't appear to have been kind on our cyclists since then.  John finished 3rd in season 3, but I don't see it happening again (& Patrick Fredickson, who finished 17th isn't even close to selectable - still bronze hiller).  Will be hoping that my tactics are better than others.  Predicted result, anybody for dice?

Results: 22nd John Jones (leader)
28th Norman Licuria (free role)
They were on a similar race tactic, so it's a pity Jones didn't stay with Licuria in section 1.  Anyway, hindsight could have got a perfect strategy, but as I wrote earlier, training hasn't been kind.
Anyway, onto climbs, where Australia managed twenty points in season 2, and nothing since.  It means a risk can't fail :)
« Last Edit: October 07, 2019, 12:44:47 AM by Aurora Australis »

Franky

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Re: Australia NT Season 5
« Reply #3 on: October 07, 2019, 08:41:54 AM »
Ohh...bad luck for the first race, 0 points...We all know that hills are not our best terrain...

Is not going to be an easy season.


Aurora Australis

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Re: Australia NT Season 5
« Reply #4 on: October 07, 2019, 12:24:59 PM »
Ohh...bad luck for the first race, 0 points...We all know that hills are not our best terrain...
Is not going to be an easy season.
I'm just amazed at seeing the stats of cyclists.  My Richard Levin for example is currently 95-95-93-87 across the main stats (will be 97-97-97-95 at end of season).  Across the field in multiple categories I'm seeing one stat 90+, the next two stats 80-85 (and downhill from there), and these for cyclists who were among the best in CFF in seasons 1 & 2.

What is does mean however, is that if anybody is promoting & training 19 year olds, send your international scouts to Australia, because if you train them well, there's going to be positions available in the Australian NT team by 23-24 years of age [excepting TT, because you have me training TT & I have at least 6 world class TTers here - with a round of fresh 19 year olds to come].  Your cyclists certainly won't get this opportunity in many other major CFF NT groups, & especially not bloated CFF countries such as Spain.

Franky

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Re: Australia NT Season 5
« Reply #5 on: October 07, 2019, 01:12:03 PM »
Is true that we need teams training other specialties, like cobb or hillers. Next climbing generation in Australia is mainly mine.

Anyway, is not easy to train those terrains...you need agress, and agress cannot be trained, so, you need a lot of luck to have world class guys...

Aurora Australis

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Re: Australia NT Season 5
« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2019, 09:05:04 AM »
AUSTRALIAN U22 - Cyclists to note
(list as of yesterday)

Aurora Australis

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Re: Australia NT Season 5
« Reply #7 on: October 11, 2019, 03:32:54 AM »
Race 2

Quote
Selections :
Anthony Garza   Spitz   23 (free or leader)
Daniel Lucas   Albero   23
Kenny Fredickson   Marineros   23
Kent Carey   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team   23 (free or leader)
Scott Springsteen   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team   23 (free or leader)
Jasper Ablett   Manicomicos_Cycling_Team   22

Three more to be selected, Nate Henderson, Herbie Steele, Nick Johnson,Ali Lindsay, Cliff Fagan (all 23 years), Steve Carey, & Aaron Palmer (22 years) are all contenders, although those with windy weather icon will probably get it (bold = weather icon).

No expectations for points.  With the number of gold level climbers, and the fact Australia has failed to score in climbs in the last two seasons under our excellent previous NT managers, pot-bellied 8 star climbers aren't likely to score.  As such we'll be throwing a gambling tactic out there & hoping something hits.

Results:
20th Kent Carey 10 points
Well that's 10 points we shouldn't have gained.  Now onto a race where 2nd tier can hopefully still gain some decent points.
« Last Edit: October 13, 2019, 10:10:30 PM by Aurora Australis »

Franky

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Re: Australia NT Season 5
« Reply #8 on: October 11, 2019, 09:41:58 AM »
Yep, hard race this one...is going to be difficult to get some points...

Franky

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Re: Australia NT Season 5
« Reply #9 on: October 14, 2019, 08:22:54 AM »
Our beloved NT, we have right now a new U23 Climber in the DT, that was not in any rankings before...(climbing, flat climbing or climb-hills) and is NOT MINE!!! Who is this guy??? Bobby Thomas

 ??? ??? ??? ???

Franky

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Re: Australia NT Season 5
« Reply #10 on: October 14, 2019, 08:23:35 AM »
By the way, yesterday, at least we get 10 points... 10 points more that what we expected...hehehe

Aurora Australis

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Re: Australia NT Season 5
« Reply #11 on: October 14, 2019, 09:05:33 AM »
we have right now a new U23 Climber in the DT, that was not in any rankings before...(climbing, flat climbing or climb-hills) and is NOT MINE!!! Who is this guy??? Bobby Thomas  ??? ??? ??? ???
Flat climber, 6th on our start of season rankings.

Vos

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Re: Australia NT Season 5
« Reply #12 on: October 14, 2019, 09:24:22 AM »
Finally, a miracle happened ; today I recruted a good 19yo Aussie for the first time.  :)
Immediately 2 bids after he was put on the TL. In this pace he will get many hundreds of bids.^^
Oliver Segond    climb= hills=
Age : 19   Wage : 850
Stamina : 46   Sprint : 13   Climbing : 64
Flat : 24   Cobblestone : 47   Technique : 40
Downhill : 56   Hills : 68   Aggressiveness : 70
Time Trial : 12   Teamwork : 5   Experience : 0
Price : 1   Days left : 3   Stages raced : 0
https://www.cyclingforfun.org/cff/vision.php?ciclistaid=52716

Aurora Australis

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Re: Australia NT Season 5
« Reply #13 on: October 14, 2019, 11:12:16 AM »
Just need somebody to train him well Vos, which hopefully those currently training 19 year olds will be able to do better than what I've seen from those with older cyclists.
Anyway:
Race 3

Quote
Selections :
David Dixon   LosTxinosKudeiros   23
Derek Nelson   Yvo_Meppelink_ProCycling   23 (leader??)
Tony Carter   Vitimper   23 (free role??)

I'm pretty certain about the other six to be selected, just not over thrilled with the options.  95% certain to select Stu Woods & Robbie Palmer.  Then four spots between Bobby Jordan, Markus Norwood, Sam Bookout (all age 23) - Oliver Stamer, Denis Freeman, Daley Cahill (all aged 21).

Tempting to select two-three 21 year olds simply out of displeasure with the 23 year olds, not that I'm particularly thrilled with them either.  Strictly speaking we only need 2-3 domestiques, so would have selected 20 year olds if there was any decent options available.  PS: Anybody training 19 year old sprinters, come to Australia, a decent sprinter would probably be selectable by age 21 or so.

Edit: Bobby Jordan wasn't selected, instead have chosen Brent Hunter  aged 19

Anyway expectations:  Not impressive, leading sprinter probably 7 stars, but previous NT managers have scored points in sprint NTs (abet decreasing numbers each season), and decent sprinters seem weak in this game, so I'm not interested in ending that here.  Wanting top 15 simply to keep up with previous results.

Btw, for comparison: The 7 star sprinter in my team, Daniel Cerdan, who scrapped into the Spanish NT team last season by 0.5% (his only NT appearance to date), would be team leader if he was Australian.

Results:
119 cyclists on same time after section 1, and the team leader isn't there.  It would have been a good tactic if he stayed with his domestiques, but I guess he just didn't quite have it in him.  The only ok thing about the disaster, is that it only cost around 70 points.
« Last Edit: October 21, 2019, 10:45:23 AM by Aurora Australis »

Franky

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Re: Australia NT Season 5
« Reply #14 on: October 14, 2019, 11:29:24 AM »
we have right now a new U23 Climber in the DT, that was not in any rankings before...(climbing, flat climbing or climb-hills) and is NOT MINE!!! Who is this guy??? Bobby Thomas  ??? ??? ??? ???
Flat climber, 6th on our start of season rankings.

Oh! I didnt see it in the list! hahahaha ¯\_(ツ)_/¯